How to know if a prospect is a good deal?

So you have your list of prospects and your ready to start buying cards. Don’t have your list? 1st read my previous article to analyze which prospects you should go for. So where were we? Ah yes, so you go to the bank and ask for a loan of $100,000.00 and now you are ready to buy some cards! But which cards do we buy? There is only one card manufacturer that people consider to be the true rookie. That is Bowman and it’s their 1st card that you are looking for. How do you know it’s their first card? They make it dummy proof for us. It says it!

So now that we know which manufacturer and which prospect we are looking for let’s see if it’s a good deal.

From the previous article we looked at Jonathan India. He was selected by the Cincinnati Reds with the 5th pick and he is a 3rd baseman. He played well in 2018 and is continuing to play well this year. So let’s take a look at the price of his cards.

2018 bowman chrome jonathan india
2018 bowman chrome jonathan

So we can say it’s roughly $41.00 for his base autograph. Now we need to take a look at other 3rd base prospects, who are not in the majors, and their sold raw card prices.

2018 Bowman Chrome Alec Bohm – Last Three sold Avg (6/12/19) – $63.33

2018 Bowman Chrome Nolan Gorman – Last Three sold Avg (6/12/19) -$188.67

2015 Bowman Chrome Ke’Bryan Hayes -Last Three sold Avg (6/12/19) – $28.00

2016 Bowman Chrome Nolan Jones – Last Three sold Avg (6/12/19) – $50.61

Now let’s compare them with the stats (for this year) I used as discussed in my previous article:

Name BB%, K%, HR, OBP, 2B

Jonathan India – 9.8%, 25.1%, 8, .349, 8

Alec Bohm – 9.4%,12.6%, 3, .371, 9

Nolan Gorman – 11.5%,27.7%, 10, .358, 13

Ke’Bryan Hayes – 10.8%,19.7%,3, .333, 20

Nolan Jones – 19.8%, 22.7%, 5, .438, 6

Taking a look at these numbers we can say that Jonathan India more than holds his own. This is just a small sample and you will have to take a look at his career to see if this is just a blip in the screen or is a upward/downward trend. But based off my analysis, he is undervalued and should be a definite buy at this price. In my opinion he should cost between $50-60.

The numbers that I use aren’t strictly adhered too, but will give me a good basis to make my decision. These are not absolutes. But have helped me in determining who I should invest in. Now it’s time to buy some cards and make money!

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